All achievements

Development of viral infection in the tissues such as lymph nodes or spleen is studied depending on virus multiplication in the host cells, their transport and on the immune response. The properties of the cells of the immune system and the initial viral load determine the spatiotemporal regimes of infection dynamics. It is shown that infection can be completely eliminated or it can persist at some level together with a certain chronic immune response in a spatially uniform or oscillatory mode. Finally, the immune cells can be completely exhausted leading to a high viral load persistence in the tissue. Our study shows that both the motility of immune cells and the virus infection propagation represented by the diffusion rate coefficients are relevant control parameters determining the fate of virus-host interaction. 
Reaction-diffusion equation with delay arising in modeling the immune response is investigated. We prove the existence of traveling waves in the bistable case using the Leray– Schauder method. Differently from the previous works, we do not assume here quasi-monotonicity of the delayed reaction term.
 

Following a stroke, cortical networks in the penumbra area become fragmented and partly deactivated. We develop a model to study the propagation of waves of electric potential in the cortical tissue with integrodifferential equations arising in neural field models. The wave speed is characterized by the tissue excitability and connectivity determined through parameters of the model. Post-stroke tissue damage in the penumbra area creates a hypoconnectivity and decreases the speed of wave propagation. It is proposed that external stimulation could restore the wave speed in the penumbra area under certain conditions of the parameters. Model guided cortical stimulation could be used to improve the functioning of cortical networks.

Formation of blood clot in response to the vessel damage is triggered by the complex network of biochemical reactions of the coagulation cascade. The process of clot growth can be modeled as a traveling wave solution of the bistable reaction–diffusion system. The critical value of the initial condition which leads to convergence of the solution to the traveling wave corresponds to the pulse solution of the corresponding stationary problem. In the current study we prove the existence of the pulse solution for the stationary problem in the model of the main reactions of the blood coagulation cascade using the Leray–Schauder method.
The mechanics of platelet initial adhesion due to interactions between GPIb receptor with von Willebrand factor (vWf) multimers is essential for thrombus growth and the regulation of this process. Multimeric structure of vWf is known to make adhesion sensitive to the hydrodynamic conditions, providing intensive platelet aggregation in bulk fluid for high shear rates. But it is still unclear how it affects the dynamics of platelet motion near vessel walls and efficiency of their adhesion to surfaces. Our goal is to resolve the principal issues in the mechanics of platelet initial attachment via GPIb-vWf bonds in near-wall flow conditions: when the platelet tends to roll or slide and how this dynamics depends on the size, conformation and adhesive properties of the vWf multimers. We employ a 3D computer model based on a combination of the Lattice Boltzmann method with mesoscopic particle dynamics for explicit simulation of vWf-mediated blood platelet adhesion in shear flow. Our results reveal the link between the mechanics of platelet initial adhesion and the physico-chemical properties of vWf multimers. This has implications in further theoretical investigation of thrombus growth dynamics, as well as the interpretation of in vitro experimental data.

Complex multiscale models of the cardiovascular system (CVS) are widely used for the numerical investigation of various CVS pathologies. In particular, the models can be applied to examine the effects of pathological changes in the electromechanical properties of cardiac muscle (myocardium) or diseases of the heart valves on the heart performance. The models of that type combine descriptions of the electromechanics of a cardiac cell, myocardium tissue, heart geometry and vascular bed. The last one is usually specified by simple closed-loop lumped parameter models, which treat the CVS as a set of elastic or viscoelastic reservoirs. In our study we have developed a new model of myocardium mechanics. This model was applied to an axisymetric approximation of the left ventricle of the heart; along with a new lumped parameter model of the CVS, it was used for the simulation of the heart performance at different conditions. The effects of some arrhythmias and the stenosis and insufficiency of the aortic and mitral valves on the haemodynamic variables were simulated. Our study is focused on the development of a 3D model of the heart including a complete electromechanical model of the myocardium within the CVS. Such model could be used for the investigation of effects of local heart tissue electromechanical disorders on the heart performance in medical practice. With further development, the model of the CVS could be used for a decision making in surgery.

Viral replication in a cell culture is described by a delay reaction-diffusion system. It is shown that infection spreads in cell culture as a reaction-diffusion wave, for which the speed of propagation and viral load can be determined both analytically and numerically. Competition of two virus variants in the same cell culture is studied, and it is shown that the variant with larger individual wave speed outcompetes another one, and eliminates it. This approach is applied to the Delta and Omicron variants of the SARS-CoV-2 infection in the cultures of human epithelial and lung cells, allowing characterization of infectivity and virulence of each variant, and their comparison.

Respiratory viral infections, such as SARS-CoV-2 or influenza, can lead to impaired mucociliary clearance in the bronchial tree due to increased mucus viscosity and its hyper-secretion. We develop in this work a mathematical model to study the interplay between viral infection and mucus motion. The results of numerical simulations show that infection progression can be characterized by three main stages. At the first stage, infection spreads through the most part of mucus producing airways (about 90% of the length) without significant changes in mucus velocity and thickness layer. During the second stage, when it passes through the remaining generations, mucus viscosity increases, its velocity drops down, and it forms a plug. At the last stage, the thickness of the mucus layer gradually increases because mucus is still produced but not removed by the flow. After some time, the thickness of the mucus layer in the small airways becomes comparable with their diameter leading to their complete obstruction.

In this work, we develop mathematical models of the immune response to respiratory viral infection, taking into account some particular properties of the SARS-CoV infections, cytokine storm and vaccination. Each model consists of a system of ordinary differential equations that describe the interactions of the virus, epithelial cells, immune cells, cytokines, and antibodies. Conventional analysis of the existence and stability of stationary points is completed by numerical simulations in order to study the dynamics of solutions. The behavior of the solutions is characterized by large peaks of virus concentration specific to acute respiratory viral infections. At the first stage, we study the innate immune response based on the protective properties of interferon secreted by virus-infected cells. Viral infection down-regulates interferon production. This competition can lead to the bistability of the system with different regimes of infection progression with high or low intensity. After that, we introduce the adaptive immune response with antigen-specific T- and B-lymphocytes. The resulting model shows how the incubation period and the maximal viral load depend on the initial viral load and the parameters of the immune response. In particular, an increase in the initial viral load leads to a shorter incubation period and higher maximal viral load. The model shows that a deficient production of antibodies leads to an increase in the incubation period and even higher maximum viral loads. In order to study the emergence and dynamics of cytokine storm, we consider proinflammatory cytokines produced by cells of the innate immune response. Depending on the parameters of the model, the system can remain in the normal inflammatory state specific for viral infections or, due to positive feedback between inflammation and immune cells, pass to cytokine storm characterized by the excessive production of proinflammatory cytokines. Finally, we study the production of antibodies due to vaccination. We determine the dose—response dependence and the optimal interval of vaccine dose. Assumptions of the model and obtained results correspond to the experimental and clinical data.

We propose new single and two-strain epidemic models represented by systems of delay differential equations and based on the number of newly exposed individuals. Transitions between exposed, infectious, recovered, and back to susceptible compartments are determined by the corresponding time delays. Existence and positiveness of solutions are proved. Reduction of delay differential equations to integral equations allows the analysis of stationary solutions and their stability. In the case of two strains, they compete with each other, and the strain with a larger individual basic reproduction number dominates the other one. However, if the basic reproduction number exceeds some critical values, stationary solution loses its stability resulting in periodic time oscillations. In this case, both strains are present and their dynamics is not completely determined by the basic reproduction numbers but also by other parameters. The results of the work are illustrated by comparison with data on seasonal influenza.

In veins, clotting initiation displays a threshold response to flow intensity and injury size. Mathematical models can provide insights into the conditions leading to clot growth initiation under flow for specific subjects. However, it is hard to determine the thrombin generation curves that favor coagulation initiation in a fast manner, especially when considering a wide range of conditions related to flow and injury size. In this work, we propose to address this challenge by using a neural network model trained with the numerical simulations of a validated 2D model for clot formation. Our surrogate model approximates the results of the 2D simulations, reaching an accuracy of 94% on the test dataset. We used the trained artificial neural network to determine the threshold for thrombin generation parameters that alter the coagulation initiation response under varying flow speed and injury size conditions. Our model predictions show that increased levels of the endogenous thrombin potential (ETP) and peak thrombin concentration increase the likelihood of coagulation initiation, while an elevated time to peak decreases coagulation. The lag time has a small effect on coagulation initiation, especially when the injury size is small. Our surrogate model can be considered as a proof-of-concept of a tool that can be deployed to estimate the risk of bleeding in specific patients based on their Thrombin Generation Assay results.